AGI hype vs ship in 2026
Two years of "AGI is months away" from labs. What actually shipped: better autocomplete, mediocre agents, expensive APIs.
OpenAI promised AGI in 2025. Anthropic in 2026. Google never said when. We're in mid-2026 and what we have is better autocomplete and demos that lie.
What works: code completion (Cursor, Copilot), document Q&A with RAG, customer support triage. Solid 30-50% productivity bump for the right use cases.
What does not work: agents that finish multi-step tasks without supervision, anything requiring causal reasoning, anything that touches money.
Honest take: AGI is still vapor. Useful AI is here and worth building on top of.